Hidden Truths
December 17th, 2009 admin

Macro Man isn’t sure that we learned much from the FOMC last night, but that doesn’t mean that markets have receded into a pre-Christmas stupor. It’s hard to know what the DGDF crowd was looking for…but whatever it was, they certainly didn’t get it. Cue the by-now predictable battery of stop losses from dollar shorts and, dare we speculate, initiation/expansion of dollar longs by the CTA community. In any event, one could argue that there was a significant development last night, via S&P’s downgrade of Greece and maintenance of a negative watch. Greece will soon be knocking on the door of the lower threshold of eligible ECB collateral; one doesn’t need a terribly vivid imagination …
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Man, this Greek saga (myth? legend?) just rumbles on and on and on, doesn’t it? The last 24 hours has seen a raft of developments, from a) yet another austerity package announcement (insert joke about the newly Spartan lifestyle of Greek civil servants here.) b) The IMF (Greece’s future partner in reform) welcomed the announcement....
While the entire market (at least in London) appeared to be on Greece death watch yesterday, those pesky Hellenes have thus far lieved to fight (or at least to trade) another day. That March 2010 CDS got paid up yesterday is hardly a good sign, though whether the purchaser possesses inside information or simply a desire to push Greece towards the...
I was on CNBC Australia last night calling for a drop in Aussie – watch me on Bloomberg at 12:30 NY Time today
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EUR/GBP has made a significant downwards breakout, reaching a 4-month low. Here are some of the reasons and the technical levels to watch. EUR/GBP broke under the 0.8852 line that was the low on December 17th. It also went below the November 17th low of 0.8834. At 0.8820 (at the time of writing), it’s at its lowest level since September 15th....
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While Macro Man intended to unveil the second half of his 2010 non-predictions today, nature has conspired against him. A dozen hours of solid snow has left half a foot on the ground, leaving him stuck at home amidst the Surrey hills. (In fairness, the trains last night were buggered before it started snowing; good to see public transport employees...
It’s a bank holiday in the UK today, and you know what that means. With apologies to Frankie Valli …. I solve my problems and I see the light A thirty hour week, you know it just ain’t right There ain’t no danger we can go too far We must start hoping now that we can change who they are Greece is the word They think our tough...
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Nishitaa01 (Nishita) : Dus me hoofd is spang man. Pfff kut macro economie. Hoofdpijn en shit.. Updated : 2010-09-06T13:56:47Z | Reply | View Tweet |
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dennisgjones (Dennis Jones) : Love this commentary and even more the chart @macroman http://bit.ly/9pPzUa Mirror, mirror, on the wall.. Updated : 2010-09-06T13:45:43Z | Reply | View Tweet |
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porkyporks (Porky Lim) : @J_LeeJ was in la. Fuck man. My macro lecturer is thai. The only thing I hear outta her mouth is tequila... Updated : 2010-09-06T07:48:24Z | Reply | View Tweet |
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RealEconomy (The Real Economist) : Macro Man: Don?t sell 'til you see the whites of their socks: http://bit.ly/cXPCTp.. Updated : 2010-09-06T07:00:43Z | Reply | View Tweet |
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alkanphel (JW) : @hai_ren That's one hardcore macro lens man.. Updated : 2010-09-06T03:42:53Z | Reply | View Tweet |
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